We won’t allow ourselves into thinking we’re going to get rich here and given the presence of Antonio Gallardo, we highly doubt that the 15-1 early line on Sope in today’s eighth race will be available at post. But we’re willing to gamble at 6-1 if that’s all that’s available.
On paper, long odds is not unrealistic, but given that he owns a sprint pedigree and never has been this far, and his figures are not in line with many of the contenders here, value should be available.
The choice is predicated on several factors. His last trip was extremely difficult. See for yourself on the HRI landing page, Tampa Bay Downs Video for GULFSTREAM PARK, DEC 2, RACE 10. And while the sire is not distance or even turf meant, the bottom side is.
The King Cugat mare has produced two runners, both won, and both won on grass. So not only is there nature, there’s nurture, too.
It’s a small sample but trainer Efron Loza is 40% first-time going long and 33% with shippers from a sizable 82 starters, profitable in both categories.
While slower at 2, the normal improvement expected with added maturity into his 3-year-old year should get him close to these, with Gallardo sealing the deal whenever he pulls the string.
We’re taking Sope to win at 6-1 or greater and an exacta box with worthy favorite; sharp, fast-working Buc’s Investment.