By Marc Lawrence — Pro Football Focus has tackled the task of evaluating the best and worst-case scenarios for every NFL team ahead of the 2020 season. It’s an especially tricky task given the uncertainty of the season even playing, let alone to what degree. Casting those many options aside, PFF looked at the season from the lens of a 16-game regular season, breaking each team’s expectation into a 10th Percentile likelihood as well as a 90th Percentile result. Defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City’s 10th Percentile outcome shows them at 9-7, while a 90th Percentile result has them 14-2 … with the reasons why. FYI: The Chiefs are the only NFL team to have a 10th Percentile outcome above .500. That’s the benefit of having Patrick Mahomes at the helm. For a Win-Loss and Percentile breakdown of every team’s chances this season click here.
As expected, a day after the Big Ten announced it would play a conference-only schedule in all sports this fall, the Pac-12 voted to do the same Friday during a virtual meeting of athletics directors, university presidents and conference officials. The Pac-12 CEO group’s decision will delay the start of fall seasons, including football. One of the reasons the Pac-12 decided to push back the start of the football season was a concern that UCLA and USC would not be ready to play in early September because of coronavirus cases in the Los Angeles area, sources told ESPN. The PAC-12’s decision to play conference only games means Notre Dame will not face USC for the first time since WWII. The move also creates scheduling dilemmas for BYU and Hawaii, which will both have to find new opponents for each of their first four games. “The health and safety of our student-athletes and all those connected to Pac-12 sports continues to be our number one priority,” Pac-12 commissioner Larry Scott said in a statement. It was announced that Scott had tested positive for the coronavirus the same day he made the announcement. Read more.
Grinding Out The Profits
2020 PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine reports: The same team that has started 21 different QBs since Dan Marino retired, the Miami Dolphins, has not won a playoff game in two decades. The latest reboot this year came when the “Tank for Tua” Dolphins landed Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa with the fifth pick of the draft. Tagovailoa went 22-2 as a starter for the Tide, with the only two losses coming against teams ranked in the Top 2. For it to work, though, they will need to overcome a bad case of the “Sara Lee syndrome” as Miami was -10 in net turnovers last season.