COX HAS FEATURE ON LOCK

What a poor excuse for a feature race, which is not Brad Cox’s fault. But it’s come to this at Belmont Park: a starter allowance on the turf at a mile and a sixteenth, after the MTOs are scratched, will be reduced to a field of five.

Of the quintet, two are trained by Cox; the faster, classier Dream Passage (3-5), and her uncoupled mate, Out of Trouble (5-2). The former is a Horse for Course (10) 3-3-1. Her mate is better at the trip, 2-for-8 and 2-for-15 at any other distance.

What separates them is that the favorite is getting back to what she does best: one turn. She was 0-for-3 rounding two at the Spa but previously 2-for-2 at Belmont with a one-bend dynamic. I’ll go on record with her to win.

Betting could be another story as her mate is tempting, capable, and very likely a better price. But she would have to be at least her early line odds in the win pool.

One thing I know for sure, we will key-box exactas; Dream Passage with her mate and Rosebud’s Hope (4-1), a consistent filly for Michael Stidham, extra ticket with Dream Passage first.

YESTERDAY: Now in the Big Apple, I had three hours to think about Gypsum Johnny’s performance in yesterday’s feature. It would have been a stretch to think he would have raced on top of the pace, but to lose contact with the field?? Never a threat, he finished off the board, flying at the finish way after the fact. Seek the replay at your ADW of choice.

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4 Responses

  1. Initially I was gonna skip my doubles and go with Dream Passage in pick threes, where I get to bet two P3’s. Yesterday I got to bet three pick threes instead of doubles using Free Enterprise as a lock (got one of the three, Alice). After combing through the entrants several times, I am a bit shaky on Dream Passage: the mare has lost her last two as the favorite. The other entrant by Cox has never won a turf race in the last two years – gotta toss this one.

    Am going with Proud O’Paddy as the filly has raced once since February and the trainer, Kantamaci, is doing well and has given the lass
    three workouts since the debacle in June. The deciding factor for me is having Luis up; there is no jock better than Saez getting a horse in position on the turn form home.

  2. Agree w/wmcorrow (and Alice) about Saez. An elite rider like Pincay, Baeza, (those are the first two I thought of, the list is pretty long) he is a lead pipe cinch for the Hall of Fame. Now I better check to see if he’s not already inducted.

  3. Not yet Mal, but if he keeps going as he has, and maybe keep his nose a little cleaner.

    Shameless self plug. Do believe I was the first on record to suggest that he move his track from South Florida to New York, that he is a big-time race rider with all the skills.

    But to me, he’s more Castellano than Pincay…

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