Thu usual array of four turf events on the Tampa Bay program and we chose the fourth race which featured the largest field and figured to be wide open. The bad news is we were wrong because it’s hard to find a suitable alternative to the favorite, Milburn (5-2).
Yes, we are asking that you look at an early line favorite in an uncoupled entry that hasn’t run in 11 months but there are reasons beyond the lack of overall quality competition. There are more compelling reasons:
First, the debuting 4-year-old owns the best figure on the Thoro-Graph scale, earned on this course when he made his racing debut last winter; so he likes this course and runs well when fresh. But there’s more:
Making his first race for Tony Granitz, profitable with runners returning from a 90-days+ layoffs and 29% effective when dropping into a maiden claimer for the first time, this barn is currently on a roll.
Milburn has been getting ready for this at a private training center since late November and picks up Samy Camacho, whose enjoyed a breakout meeting and is riding the grass course very well.
We do not have video to show you; Tampa Bay did not start putting its races on YouTube until January 2020. But that doesn’t mean you can’t see Milburn’s racing debut. Go to the Tampa Bay Downs website and scroll through their Race Replay library until you get to MAR 30, 2019, RACE 8.
We think you’ll agree that he should be able to beat this group. We’ll take him straight at early line or better and key-boxing exactas with forward looking Overpraise (9-2) and Rienero (6-1) from a barn that’s 24% adding blinkers.