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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

NFL WEEK 7 BEST UPSETS

LA Chargers over Tennessee by 11

It was the same old Chargers last week – rotten to the core at home.
The Bolts are the top team in the league where visiting teams hold
a legitimate road-field advantage. And for the 4th time in the last
5 years, the Chargers have started the season 2-4. That’s not good
news considering they failed to make the playoffs three of the past
four seasons with an identical start to the campaign. A hapless
offensive line isn’t helping matters either as they have rushed for
fewer than 80 yards in each of their last four contests. At least TE
Hunter Henry is back (8 catches foe 100 yards last week). Thus, with
a 10-9 SU and 7-12 ATS mark at home as opposed to a 13-7 SU and
13-5-2 ATS ledger away since the move from sunny San Diego to the
layback lifestyle in Los Angeles, it’s safe to say life on the road is far
better for the Philip Rivers flummoxed crew. Meanwhile, the Titans
have troubles of their own, also at 2-4 this year while having been
outgained in five of their six games – including the last three in a
row. That makes them a ‘leaking oil’ favorite and we’re not about
to look a gift horse in the mouth. Not with Tennessee 0-3-1 ATS as a
host in this series since 1998. And with it, we’re all-in today, especially
with added support from THE CLINCHER: Chargers QB Rivers is
23-7 SU and 24-5-1 ATS all-time against AFC South opponents,
including 10-3 SU and 12-1 ATS with a losing record..

BALTIMORE over Seattle by 13

Baltimore appears to be getting their mojo back at the right time.
Last week against lightweight Cincinnati, the Ravens scored 30-plus
points and gained more than 425 yards for the second-straight week.
As expected, Lamar Jackson led the charge, becoming the fi rst QB
to rush for 150-plus yards in a game since Colin Kaepernick did so
in 2014 when he finished with 19 carries for 152 yards. He was also
21-fo-36 for 236 yards. NFL.com said, “not bad for a running back”.
On the other side of the field, Seattle took care of business in the
Dawg Pound, overcoming a 21-6 deficit by outscoring the Browns
26-7 thereafter to improve to 5-1 on the year. For the Seahawks it
was another nail-biting win at Cleveland last week, its second fourth quarter rally to victory in the last 10 days. In fact, four of Seattle’s
five wins this season have been by a total of 8 points. Through it all,
QB Russell Wilson is the fourth quarterback in NFL history to record
100-plus ratings in each of his fi rst six games to start the season.
So while the MVP hype has begun, we’ll sit on the opposite side of
the contrarian ladder today with the Ravens’ 10-2 ATS log in post-Bengal battles, and the Seahawks’ 0-4 ATS mark in their last four
home games running. Pete Carroll’s blasé 3-5 SU and 2-5-1 ATS career
mark in games when coming off a SU underdog win and facing foes
coming off a win settles it. That, and THE CLINCHER: Seattle is 1-5-
2 ATS all-time against .500 or greater AFC North foe

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