Hallandale Beach FL, May 22, 2026 — Another week and yet another series of wide-open scrambles. No excuses here, just a dose of reality. You’ve been advised. See wat you think and we can compare notes:
AQUEDUCT RACETRAGK
ARADISE CREEK Race 7
A:\ Glorious Boy (10-1) fresh gelding has been tested for class in four straight Stakes now returns off lengthy break for Crlos Martin who is a solid 14% effective at 90-days + with Johnny, a 15% team lifetime turning back into sprint with blinkers off. Style suits and can stalk or one-run the speed down from outside draw. 6 -Azisam (6-1) returns in LAY 2 scenario for Weaver, 18% effective in that scenario with Castellano, career profitable in sizable sample. Return was sneaky good, racing wide throughout with solid stretch run but was not abused when apparently beaten; improvement expected.
B: 3-Intricate Spirit (3-1), 2-Track Tiger (5-2)
C: 9-Itza Lock (8-1), 5-Bronze Billet (6-1)
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CHURCHILL DOWNS
KEERTANA STAKES Race 9
A: 5-Wat to Be Marie (6-1) has been facing better in graded company, has improved in two starts for Kenneally, who is 17% with this spacing, and is profitable lifetime with Saez, another sizable sample here is 17, position sort can work out trip right behind the speed. 3-Ayra Stark (9-5) classy foreigner is fast away from the barrier, looms the controlling speed, is well posted and barn is 23% profitable when partnering with Jose O.
B:4-Golden Sunshine (4-1), 1-Sultana (3-1)
C: 8-Venencia (12-1), 7-Queens Command (20-1)
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GULFSTREAM PARK
GAME FACE STAKES Race 10
A: 2-Lennilu (8-5) is versatile, the demonstrated class proven on two surface, and has won twide going turf to dirt. Reacted last time when entered back a little quick but spacing much better here. Game stakes winner lone start this trip.
B: 7-Late Night Text (9-5)
C: 1-Maxitas (6-1), 5-Canton (8-1)
Players can move horses up or down, suggested no more than one level
9 Responses
John
I like the three workouts in 22 days for Azisam in addition to the relevant information you posted.
Arguably has raced against better in the last three races in bluegrass country. In BBC addition has won on a wet turf.
4/1 is my target for value in this setup.
Good luck
Her late-run style caught up with her Jack
GM The horse hovered around 7/2 to 4/1 cl in se to post time and I wavered about making the bet as I wanted 4/1.
I fell to the FOMO the fear if missing out syndrome and made the bet.😂
All you can do is make the best decision you can based on what’s known at the time, J
About your input on CDowns raising purse $$,I made me think how some tracks pay so much,or little for claiming races.Monmouth $ 10 clamers running for a $17 ,000 purse,while at BAQ same claimers for $ 30,000,But $50 .000 claimers running for a $ 57,000 purse!?! Shouldn’t horses running at BAQ receive a bigger purse, like some$ 70,000? Isn’t there a mathematical way to decide what he purses should be,at least for claiming races? Also what is the difference between $ 15,000 claimers running in different ( major league) tracks? If I owned a good claimer in a Monmouth barn, wouldn’t it be a worthwhile trip to try to collect NYRA purse money? How does one try to compare # s between similar claimers of different tracks? Shouldn’t a Monmouth horse be better than a comparable, same $$ level Aqueduct horse since it comes from a smaller,cheaper track? Same with speed numbers since smaller tracks are not as well kept as the Big Show ones….?😱😱 Simple example: if a horse runs 6F at 109.4 at Finger Lakes,he should beat his same level competition,at the same distance,at the Big A…
( Or am I missing something?)
I honestly don’t know. Your proposal makes sense though i don’t know if purses based on running time is valid. Class matters, i don’t think Finger Lakes 1:09 4/5 is the same ais comparable comparable to same level downstate.
Final time is one measure but comparing fast final times without pace analysis evaluates only the raw outcome rather than the race execution. How was the energy distributed?
Exactly …
Basic question was : What are the Differences among horses running for the similar claiming prices in different tracks !?! The time was a secondary added indication whether the horse won wire to wire or came from behind,in a fast or slow track condition.Are all ($ 5 ,000- $ 60,000) claimers similar,from F Lakes to Delaware to Santa Anita ? A faster animal from a smaller track HAS to be,that was my ( 2 cent) logic…So why aren’t they being claimed ( as much)? They used to claim New Zealand and Australian horses yrs ago,why not from small American tracks? Cheaper ” shipping and handling” !! Another question :Can Quarter horses train to run 4- 5 F in bigger tracks? Has it been tried? ” Til next time…😇