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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

THREE KEYS TO WATCH FOR

By Marc Lawrence — As NFL.com points outs, it took reaching the AFC Championship Game for the Kansas City Chiefs to finally secure a two-score win everyone was moaning about. KC’s 38-24 victory over Buffalo on Sunday felt familiar because, for the second straight season, no AFC defense came close to stopping Patrick Mahomes in a title game. Mahomes has directed 13 drives in these playoffs, excluding kneeldowns, and the opposing defense has stopped him from scoring a touchdown or attempting a field goal exactly once. That one time, the first drive Sunday night, ended with a drop by Tyreek Hill on a beautifully thrown pass by Mahomes 40 yards down the field. Chad Henne has the Chiefs’ only offensive turnover of the postseason, and their defense just played its two best games of the season in successive weeks. Suddenly, they have that Super Bowl look about them. Remember, today its offense that wins championships. Field goals get you sent home a loser. Andy Reid knows it, Bruce Arians knows it, and they both will trust their quarterbacks in big spots more than Buffalo boss Sean McDermott or Packers coach Matt LaFleur trusted theirs on Sunday… To read two other key points to watch on SB LV next Sunday click here.

Trending Today

The Kentucky Wildcats, 5-10. The Duke Blue Devils, 6-5. And even the Butler Bulldogs at 5-8 and the Cincinnati Bearcats at 3-7. These are perennial 20-and 30-win teams in a normal non-COVID season folks. Worse, they stand 13-34-1 ATS collectively in games this season through Tuesday. That being said, mark these records down today and see where they come in at season’s end. My best guess is there is money to be made by backing these basketball bluebloods from now until they cut down the nets in Indianapolis. Think of it as buying Amazon and Apple when they first came out.

Grinding Out The Profits

From the Playbook Basketball Newsletter: When Valparaiso hosts Bradley tonight they will do so knowing they lost in the finals of the Missouri Valley Conference tourney to the Braves last season, something all 3 returning starters figure to vividly recall. Meanwhile, it’s bad timing for the Braves as they arrive off back-to-back wars with the rugged Ramblers of Loyola-Chicago. Bradley doesn’t fare well after rumbling with the Ramblers, going 6-14 SU and 7-13 ATS, including 1-5 ATS as chalk. Meanwhile, the series host is currently 6-0 SUATS. This is where upsets happen.

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