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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

CFB BOWL OBSERVATIONS

By Marc Lawrence — The College Football Playoff semifinal matchup between No. 1 LSU and No. 4 Oklahoma has concerns on both sides, potentially impacting the latest college football spreads. LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (hamstring) is questionable after sustaining an injury in practice, while Oklahoma’s Ronnie Perkins, Rhamondre Stevenson and Trejan Bridges have reportedly been suspended for the game. FYI: The CBS SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. One of the model’s strongest 2019-20 college football bowl predictions is that No. 18 Minnesota (+7.5) stays within the spread against No. 12 Auburn in the 2020 Outback Bowl on New Year’s Day. Both teams were strong against the spread this season, with the Tigers going 8-3 and the Golden Gophers posting a 7-3-1 mark against the number. To read more on the 2019 College Bowl games ahead click here.

Trending Today

Since the inception of all division games the final week of the season in 2010, double-digit favorites are 18-11-1 ATS, including 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS against sub .333 opponents. It’s Cowboys and Patriots or bust on Sunday.

Grinding Out The Profits

From this week’s Playbook Football Newsletter: Hawaii surprised many by reaching the Mountain West Championship game, and is also playing on its home turf. The Warriors return home to the same bowl game they lost last year, 31-14, to Louisiana Tech, and the good news is bowlers at home who were in the same bowl game the previous season are 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS. The grass skirts also rank No. 4 in First Down Offense. Take the points with the home dog. And should they go favored then just lei it.
   

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