To conclude the racing week, the decision for us is do you take what you believe is the most probable winner, Panther Island (8-5) or go for the value offered on Bee by the Sea (5-1).
The question is who has the edge in present form. The latter recently won at this level but in restricted state-bred company, which doesn’t count against him in today’s conditions.
Trainer Marcial Navarro is 33% effective with repeaters and Miguel Vasquez was aboard for both recent Tapeta scores. Meanwhile, 3-year-old Panther Island has more upside.
The barn is having a 26% profitable 2022 and the Speightstown colt should have won his last except for refusing to change to his correct lead in the lane, costing him the victory in the narrow defeat that would have been a fourth win without defeat.
There is no question this horse has improved for Ruben Gracida since claimed, he also being 22% efficient with his LAY-2 runners. See if you think the lack of lead chance was the difference here on SEP 16, Race 6.
In a quandary, we will take the favorite getting a five-pound pull but at no less than early line odds and a quinella with his main rival. If that’s not available, we’d take 4-1 minimum on our second choice.