With the Super Bowl weather expected to hold out, and turf being our preference, today’s finale is really interesting, a pace-dependent rider’s race in which half the field comes into it with a chance. One of those had virtually no chance in her last start down south, the other gets major class relief.
Shawdyshawdyshawdy (7-2) had little chance in her last two outings and the start two races back, in which he was a game-rally fourth in the G2 Pilgrim while moving into the strongest part of the pace, coming after the winner was drawing out after setting slowing fractions.
And all that winner his next run was to repeat that score in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf; Fire at Will is a very talented colt.
We’d love you to check out that run for yourself on your ADW of choice as our access is technically restricted. Instead, see the Tampa Bay Today video from GULFSTREAM PARK, JAN 30, RACE 10 and compare ‘Shawdy”s race to Queen of the Green (9-2).
The ‘Queen’ had little chance herself, bumping the rail into the lower first turn then was compromised by moderate fractions in Gufstream’s G3 Sweetest Chant. In her previous start, she broke maiden on this course at today’s trip, earning the fastest performance figure in this group.
But we’ll bank on the class relief ‘Shawdy’ gets today and the subtle fact that this will be a return to two turns, as her three stakes starts came over the quirky Kentucky Downs course followed by two chute events at Belmont. Previously, she broke maiden on debut at the Spa, a two-turn affair.
Taking Shawdyshawdyshawdy to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with Queen of the Green and the fast, well meant optional claimer Trade Deal (5-2) for Team Ward/Gallardo.