SELL RAVENS, BUY BRONCOS

We realize the Baltimore Ravens are 19-3 SU and 18-3-1 ATS in preseason games the last five-plus seasons, but before knee-jerking with the Black Birds once again this week our well-oiled machine issues this cautionary note: Since 1992 NFL preseason favorites coming off a shutout win are just 14-13 SU and 9-18 ATS the following game. Hmmm.

If you are panning for gold this NFL season you might want to consider taking a deep dive into the AFC West division. FYI: the Denver Broncos, +7 net turnovers in 2018 regular season, played ‘under’ their regular-season win total each of the last three years. The Wild Horses had 5 wire-to-wire losses last year … the Kansas City Chiefs, +9 net turnovers in 2018 regular season, had a league-high 9 wire-to-wire regular-season wins last year, and will face a league-high 4 opponents with a bye week on deck this year. The Featherheads have played ‘over’ their regular-season win total each of the last six years …

The Los Angeles Chargers, +1 net turnover in 2018 regular season, will face 3 opponents with a bye week on deck this year. The Bolts had 6 double-digit regular-season wins last year … the Oakland Raiders, -7 net turnovers in 2018 regular-season, will face a league-high 4 non-division opponents caught in the middle of a division sandwich this year. The Black Patches suffered a league-high 9 double-digit losses last year …
Today’s Two-Minute Handicap Drill

MLB – Arizona: Kelly 0-7 $ with 6.03 ERA last seven starts, Colorado 5-0 last five games against the Diamondbacks … NY Yankees: German 10-0 $ vs. AL East this season, Baltimore: 0-9 last nine games against the Pinstripes … Houston: Greinke 2-8 $ career vs. White Sox … Tampa Bay: 7-0 last seven games against the Padres.

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