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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


Today’s optional allowances for three year old fillies going a mile on the Oldsmar lawn is a tad tricky with three contenders emerging from the same race. But diving deeper in today’s 5th race, value can be had thanks to the Tampa Bay Today Video on the HRI homepage.

Queens Embrace (2-1), seeking her fifth straight win, and Sugar Fix (9-2), who put it all together for a lifetime best Thoro-Graph score last out, will have a lot to say about the outcome here. But Volador (6-1) is most interesting because she could easily slip through the parimutuel cracks.

The crowd may dismiss her because she has but a maiden claiming score on her card. But it came in her Tampa debut after getting a run vs. maiden allowances types at the Fair Grounds. After rating off the speed, she raced by after gathering momentum, galloping out strongly as she widened.

Last out, she raced on the lead on dirt, was pressed throughout and faded to third, but that’s not her game. Rating with a target on turf is better, as she demonstrated on MAR 27, RACE 3 here. Further, we believe the mini-cutback from 1-1/16th to one mile will further sharpen her kick.

We respect all three and making an exacta box, but we’re taking Volador to win, seeking 7-2 or more with no scratches, and am likely to press with key-exacta boxes with her two main rivals.

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3 Responses

  1. I Gotta Know Right Now! Riders Up! You ain’t getting’me to quit. Riding Pricci in today’s fifth…
    EX – Tampa Bay Downs – R5 – $4
    Exacta Key Box
    1st: 2
    2nd: 1, 5
    Bets (4) Amount: $1Total: $4
    Ticket #: 39386778043912
    Placed At: 05-27-2020 1:36 pm
    WIN – Tampa Bay Downs – R5 – $2
    1st: 2
    Bets (1) Amount: $2Total: $2
    Ticket #: 01661329659406
    Placed At: 05-27-2020 1:37 pm
    TRI – Tampa Bay Downs – R5 – $2
    1st: 2
    2nd: 1, 5
    3rd: 1, 5
    Bets (2) Amount: $1Total: $2
    Ticket #: 67659723465178
    Placed At: 05-27-2020 1:37 pm
    TRI – Tampa Bay Downs – R5 – $3
    Trifecta Box
    : 1, 2, 5
    Bets (6) Amount: $0.50Total: $3
    Ticket #: 21440324936994
    Placed At: 05-27-2020 1:39 pm

  2. Thanks for the Next Shares call on Monday’s SA Race 9 for a nice Heinze $57 $1 ex box. Now if only WOW could have saved 4th, the SF would have been really sweet. Lucky for us WOW was DQ’d in a way. Filed under “three out of four ain’t bad”. I figure three out of four trumps your two out a three pretty bigly. All in all, an exciting race watching Next Shares close the way he did. Sorry for not posting my thanks earlier. Spent the last few days planting the garden. Finished up just in time for the 9th race on Monday. Made for a nice holiday. Hope your’s was even better.

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