Uninspired by most of today’s proceedings, we’re opting for the race with the most contestants over the turf surface that many bettors, myself included, look forward to: Tampa Turf.
We looked at the finale and agree the linemaker has the correct and logical favorites; G Friday (2-1) and Drill Bit (3-1). G Friday comes off the best recent performance, drops to the bottom turf rung and is consistently fastest on the Thoro-Graph scale.
Drill Bit is interesting. He showed improvement in his course debut at this level now makes second start off a layup. He made a promising move but tired late after losing too much ground early. But then why does Antonio Gallardo abandon him to ride Level Seventeen (10-1), making grass debut?
Before we go further, getting 10-1 on Gallardo is a pipe dream in a spot look this. Bettors would do well to get half that. Our surmise is that he’s live, going 2-for-5 for Mike Stidham at this meet. Further, he’s ridden him twice sprinting now stretches to a turf route off two dirt sprints.
‘Level’ came up lacking at the finish last out–a key race in which the exacta finishers came back to win their next starts–after a troubled start but that race should set him up for this. Check out the Tampa Today Video on the homepage to see if you agree, RACE 4 on JAN 29.
The clincher is out of character for us, taking unproven turf form over experience. But we’re making an exception here because the rider is showing confidence and of the mare’s seven foals to win, two came with turf specialists.
At anything close to 5-1 we’ll bet straight and key-boxing exotics with the favorites.