The Horse Race Insider is a privately owned magazine. All copyrights reserved. “Bet with your head, not over it.”

The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


By Marc Lawrence, — The question is what will happen in Philadelphia this weekend when trends collide? Our call is PHILADELPHIA over NY Giants by 3 — Here we go again, another NFL postseason game involving a double revenge rematch. When it comes to same-season double revenge for division teams in NFL playoff contests, they are just 7-13 SU and 9-10-1 ATS since 1990. But per the new Playbook W.I.N. (What’s Important Now) Report these same double revengers are a glitzy 6-1-1 ATS as dog of more than 6 points. And per the SMART BOX on page 2, there is a vast disparity in each team’s ITS (In The Stats) numbers against fellow playoff teams this season (+571 for Philly; -421 for NYG). However, we simply can’t overlook Big Blue’s 11-2 ATS dog log under Brian Daboll, or the fact that they were involved in a league-high 14 one-score games, going 9-4-1 SU and 12-1-1 ATS in those contests, which goes hand-in-hand with the fact that a staggering 45% of games this season (122 of 271) were decided by 6 points or fewer – the most since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002. In the Eagles’ favor, the WOM (Well-Oiled Machine) points out that playoff hosts are 37-10 SU and 29-18 ATS since 1990 when facing invaders coming off consecutive away games. And yes, like San Fran, Philadelphia owns the magic elixir when it comes to projecting Super Bowl participants, namely a Top 5-ranked offense and defense. So, while it’s hard to fade the league’s No. 1 overall defense, the points are too attractive for one team on a roll and the other on a slide.

Facebook Share
Twitter Share
LinkedIn Share

⚠ Before you comment

Our staff likes nothing better than to engage with the HRI Faithful and provide a forum for interaction on horseracing and sports. In that spirit, please be kind and reasonable; keep the language clean, and the tone civil. Comments from those who cannot comply will be deleted. Thank you.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *