HALLANDALE BEACH, FL., Halloween, 2021 — As everyone knows, the Del Mar Turf Club will play host to the Breeders’ Cup World Championships next weekend for only the second time after making its debut in Oceanside in the Fall of 2017.
The question is do the local horses enjoy a home course advantage? As a Horse for Course guy myself, the answer is obvious: Horses that enjoy a course preference will always have an edge on those who don’t or those unfamiliar with their surroundings and footing.
For handicappers also fond of this particular angle, the posit is a no-brainer; of course Western horses have an edge when it comes to racing in the Golden State. California is a different racing world; you don’t see many Eastern tracks offering ship-and-win incentives, do you?
Anyhow, we looked up Breeders’ Cup results from Del Mar four years ago and this is what we’ve found: Let’s just say the results validated the notion that the event does offer a true world championship opportunity to the participants.
Here are the results, listed by race, race winner, and the scene of the winner’s final prep:
JUVENILE FILLIES TURF: Rushing Fall, Keeneland
DIRT MILE: Battle of Midway, Remington Park
JUVENILE TURF: Mendelssohn, UK-Newmarket
DISTAFF: Forever Unbridled, Saratoga
JUVENILE FILLIES: Caledonia Road, Belmont
TURF SPRINT: Stormy Liberal, Belmont
FILLY & MARE SPRINT: Bar of Gold, Keeneland
FILLY & MARE TURF: Wuheida, FR-Chantilly
SPRINT: Roy H, Santa Anita
BREEDERS’ CUP MILE: World Appeal, CAN-Woodbine
JUVENILE: Good Magic, Belmont
TURF: Talismanic, FR-Chantilly
CLASSIC: Gun Runner, Saratoga
There it is: 13 winners [no Juvenile Turf Sprint in 2017] which last prepped in four different countries, eight different tracks. Conclusion? It will be more about prevailing biases, based on course dynamics and/or prevailing atmospherics.
Post draw, race shape, running style, and trips, per usual, will determine the outcomes unless, of course, the “best horse” comes with its ‘A+’ game then nothing else matters.
More Handicapping Time Wanted
We understand the concept of time zones is out of the event’s control. But the pill pull at which all 14 races will be drawn begins at 2:30 Pacific and will take several hours. a wasted day for horseplayers. Past performances providers need time to re-jigger the pre-entries, record latest workouts and late-breaking developments.
What’s the difference? There are three days left to sort it all out prior to Friday’s Juveniles card which launches “racing’s biggest weekend of the year?” Well, horseplayers need time beyond the hours spent handicapping. Creating tickets is the most important variable, and with so many disparate wagering opportunities, the more time afforded, the better.
Gambling Advice Takes Time, Costs Money
The Breeders’ Cup consists of 14 races; five juvenile events Friday and nine races for elders Saturday. HRI is changing its selections format for Breeders’ Cup, abandoning the A-B-C approach we use for our regular Saturday audience and will use this approach:
We will offer two horses per race for straight wagering purposes. a Most Probable Winner and Best Race Value selection with suggested odds. Additionally, there will be a maximum of four Exotics Horses per race for use in all vertical slots–exactas, trifectas, and superfectas. The cost is $2 per race.
HRI will list these six horses for the day’s two biggest races in this space; Friday’s Juvenile and Saturday’s Classic. The rest will be available at the aforementioned price; Friday’s additional four races are $8; Saturday’s eight races, $16. Two-day discount package is $20.
Those interested will receive all runners by 11 am each day by email once PayPal informs us payment has been made: The link for making PayPal payments is: [email protected]