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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAMPA BAY TODAY – FEB 16

Freshened up briefly, we’re in the mood to take a gamble to being the race week in Oldsmar. Princess Livia is 15-1 on the early line, and we would not accept anything less than that.

There are three logical runners in here. Robert Raymond has an uncoupled pair in My Sarasota Star (5-1) and recent claim All Good Times (3-1). Victor Carrasco (5-2) saddles favorite Lady Jean (5-2) and Pablo Morales stays aboard.

Of the three, our lean would be All Good Times. But as stated, we’re looking to gamble.

After showing winning form in Canterbury, Princess Livia returned off a freshening and was absolutely empty, appearing badly in need of a race. In her next start here, she raced very wide throughout from a high draw and was tentatively handled thereafter. Trainer Tm Padilla is having a solid meet.

It was her last race that peaked our interest. Going 5 furlongs on turf, not her preferred surface in two starts, she did show much improved early speed and was still in it at headstretch before tiring once again.

The improved lick is a signal of more improvement to follow. Check out FEB 2, Race 7, Tampa Bay Downs.

Today, she goes turf to dirt, just as she did last year when she won on the main track here. Four of her five lifetime wins have come on this surface.

‘Livia’ returns on short rest, a sign of intent here, and Ricardo Feliciano takes a return call following two poor efforts. We’re going with the winning repeat turf-to-dirt pattern with a horse for course.

We’re betting Princess Livia to win at 15-1 or greater and, going for the gusto, keying her in all multiple pools.

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