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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

Will Speed Be Dangerous in Belmont’s Saginaw Stakes?

Today’s featured Belmont Park stakes is the Saginaw for older New York-bred males going a mile. Five of the seven horses entered can win. Time to whittle down the group.

At first blush there is a lot of speed signed on but upon taking a deeper dive, should Runaway Lute (8-1) catch a flyer coming out of the gate, he can be long gone.

While his pedigree doesn’t scream distance, there’s certainly enough there for a mile and a sixteenth one-turner. He might not have experience at the trip, but all four lifetime have come in Elmont.

This looks like the last home game before Saratoga opens, July 11.

Trainer Gary Contessa reaches out for Irad Ortiz Jr., whose name does not appear in ‘Lute’s’ PPs and this “team” has only come together twice in the past two months–no wins but two money finishers.

Oh, and did we mention is his :47 4/5 was third fastest of 136 peers this past week at Belmont Park?

It is said speed is always dangerous; here’s an opportunity to find out. As competitive as this race is on the form, were demanding fair odds of at least 5-1 straight.

Mr. Buff (7-5), dropping out of the Commentator Stakes, which produced one winner from two subsequent starters, is well suited by the conditions. Sea Foam (3-1), returning for the equally white hot Christophe Clement and Joel Rosario, is 2-for-2 at the trip.

Key-boxed exactas, please.

YESTERDAY: Both Chad Brown horses won at Belmont in dominating fashion; both top selections won at Gulfstream Park, including two exactas, Skywire was badly squeezed at the start, losing all chance.

FRIDAY: Dr. Shane (2.70-1) was rather flat, apparently regressing off his last–an even fourth after making a minimally wide turn move into the lane and failed to go on with it. Our exacta horse, Oleksandra won paying $9.50, sadly to no avail.

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